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VfL Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 17

Bundesliga - Gameweek 17

Wednesday, 14 Jan 2026 • 18:30

VfL Wolfsburg

2 : 1

St. Pauli

Goals

Christian Erik...
1 : 0
25'
25'Christian Eriksen
1 : 0
40'
1 : 1
Eric Smith
1 : 1
Eric Smith40'
Dzenan Pejcino...
2 : 1
88'
88'Dzenan Pejcinovic
2 : 1

Game Review

In a tightly contested Bundesliga match, VfL Wolfsburg edged out St. Pauli with a 2-1 victory, thanks to a late winner from Dzenan Pejcinovic. The result was largely expected, given Wolfsburg's stronger position in the league and home advantage. However, St. Pauli put up a resilient fight, making the hosts work hard for their three points. The game began with Wolfsburg asserting control, and it was Christian Eriksen (GAP -2.0%) who broke the deadlock in the 25th minute, showcasing his trademark precision with a well-placed shot. St. Pauli responded before halftime, with Eric Smith (GAP -2.0%) leveling the score in the 40th minute, capitalizing on a lapse in the Wolfsburg defense. As the second half progressed, both teams had opportunities, but it was Wolfsburg who found the decisive moment. In the 88th minute, Pejcinovic struck to secure the win, a testament to Wolfsburg's persistence and tactical adjustments. Tactically, Wolfsburg's manager made several changes, bringing in Mattias Svanberg, Adam Daghim, Mohammed Amoura, Kilian Fischer, and Kevin Paredes from the bench. These substitutions injected fresh energy into the team, which proved crucial in the latter stages of the match. St. Pauli's head coach also made tactical adjustments, introducing Abdoulie Ceesay, Martijn Kaars, and Louis Oppie, but they were unable to alter the course of the game significantly. Konstantinos Koulierakis (GAP +2.1%) stood out defensively for Wolfsburg, providing stability at the back, while Maximilian Arnold (GAP +1.6%) was instrumental in midfield, dictating the tempo and contributing to Wolfsburg's attacking play. This victory consolidates Wolfsburg's position in the upper half of the Bundesliga table, boosting their momentum as they aim for European qualification. St. Pauli, on the other hand, will need to regroup and focus on their upcoming fixtures to climb out of the lower reaches of the table.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg

PosPlayer
GK
Kamil Grabara
DEF
Moritz Jenz
DEF
Saël Kumbedi
DEF
Konstantinos Koulierakis
DEF
Aaron Zehnter
MID
Christian Eriksen
MID
Yannick Gerhardt
MID
Maximilian Arnold
MID
Lovro Majer
FWD
Patrick Wimmer
FWD
Dzenan Pejcinovic

Substitutes

61'Mohammed Amourafor Lovro Majer
73'Kilian Fischerfor Saël Kumbedi
73'Adam Daghimfor Patrick Wimmer
83'Kevin Paredesfor Aaron Zehnter
83'Mattias Svanbergfor Yannick Gerhardt

St. Pauli

PosPlayer
GK
Nikola Vasilj
DEF
Hauke Wahl
DEF
Adam Dźwigała
DEF
James Sands
DEF
Lars Ritzka
DEF
Karol Mets
MID
Mathias Pereira-Lage
MID
Eric Smith
MID
Joel Fujita
FWD
Arkadiusz Pyrka
FWD
Ricky-Jade Jones

Substitutes

68'Louis Oppiefor Lars Ritzka
68'Martijn Kaarsfor Ricky-Jade Jones
90'Abdoulie Ceesayfor Mathias Pereira-Lage
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12VfL Wolfsburg185492738-1119
W
L
L
W
D
18St. Pauli1733111631-1512
D
W
D
L
L

Last Games

VfL Wolfsburg

@FC Bayern München
1 - 8
vsSC Freiburg
3 - 4
@Borussia Mönchengladbach
3 - 1
vsUnion Berlin
3 - 1
@Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 1

St. Pauli

@FSV Mainz 05
0 - 0
vsFC Heidenheim
2 - 1
@1. FC Köln
1 - 1
@FC Bayern München
1 - 3
vsUnion Berlin
0 - 1

Head-to-Head

14 Jan 2026
VfL Wolfsburg2 - 1St. Pauli
14 Jan 2026VfL Wolfsburg
2 - 1
St. Pauli
08 Mar 2025
VfL Wolfsburg1 - 1St. Pauli
08 Mar 2025VfL Wolfsburg
1 - 1
St. Pauli
26 Oct 2024
St. Pauli0 - 0VfL Wolfsburg
26 Oct 2024St. Pauli
0 - 0
VfL Wolfsburg

Bundesliga

Gameweek 17

13 Jan • 18:30
VfB Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 - 2
13 Jan • 20:30
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
3 - 0
13 Jan • 20:30
FSV Mainz 05
FC Heidenheim
2 - 1
14 Jan • 18:30
VfL Wolfsburg
St. Pauli
2 - 1
14 Jan • 20:30
1. FC Köln
FC Bayern München
1 - 3
14 Jan • 20:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5 - 1
14 Jan • 20:30
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
2 - 0
15 Jan • 20:30
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
1 - 1
04 Mar • 20:30
Hamburger SV
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.